DeKay Mailbag Part 2: Roster Predictions, Envy's Plan, and EPL/B Site Expectations

Welcome to Part 2 of the DeKay Mailbag, a monthly feature in which Counter-Strike reporter and insider Jarek "DeKay" Lewis answers questions from readers on Twitter. Do you have a question you'd like to see in a future mailbag? Tweet @dekay.
With the top teams in CS:GO preparing to jump back into match servers later this week, a ton of questions remain about the future of many players and teams still at home. Will some teams still make roster moves? How will the leagues play out? Both of these and more are answered in Part 2 of this month's DeKay Mailbag.
Do you think Esea/Faceit will ever be shut down by CS GO when they get better anti cheat and 128 Tick servers ?
— L0URAL - (@99DamageIn1) January 29, 2020
Predicting what Valve might do is just about impossible. If those companies market their brand properly, they'll be able to pivot easily if one day Valve does decide to improve servers and anti-cheat. If they go out of business with the amount of time they've had to leverage their users, it's their own fault.
Who is the next playing on the chopping block for FaZe if they continue to under perform after the coldzera and broky additions?
— Xavier Simmons (@XavierSimmons) January 29, 2020
Calling it a chopping block assumes none of the four veteran guys want to step down or transfer anywhere else. In that case, broky would be the one to go without question. I do however see a world in which Olofmeister returns to a Swedish lineup later this year, based on what I've heard recently.
Why did calyx and michu sign to envy? Did they not know about the drama surrounding them beforehand, do they have a spot in the b site league, etc?
— MC Ferrari (@MC__Ferrari) January 28, 2020
I have not heard Envy mentioned as a B Site team but they are a prime candidate for it if you look at their behavior with other Esport titles. Calyx and michu likely took the offer because it is a nice pay bump and allows them to experience playing in a completely new environment with a good amount of resources. Eventually at a certain point, players don't care what has happened with previous lineups because the offer in front of them is so good to what they have had recently.
Do you feel if the "B Site" can sign a few higher ranked teams that the overall competitive ecosystem would benefit? Such as making majors are bit more enticing as high level teams wouldn't have much of an opportunity to match-up with each other as much, being less watered down.
— Will Vickers (@wcvickers) January 28, 2020
I am someone who has always been okay with events not always having the best teams, so long as we have a few that do outside of Majors. People worrying about leagues splitting teams up need to keep in mind that these leagues will only keep teams separate for a few months out of the entire calendar.
Your predictions for the year.
— Rishabh sinha (@errishabh_sinha) January 28, 2020
1) Best team of 2020
2) Best player of 2020
3) Best tournament of 2020
4) Most surprising roaster change
5) Team and player with most improvement.
and Will you get more involved with the scene like in tournaments.
Team - Astralis
Player - s1mple
Event - Cologne
Roster Change - EG
Most Improved Player - Kjaerbye
Most Improved Team - North
I will attend tournaments like I occasionally do but I don't have any interest in working as talent.
Not sure how relevant this would be, but don't you find it funny that what we remember from 1.6 is more player-related (e.g. NEO vs f0rest) than team-related. As much as it is team-based game, sometimes players are remembered more than the teams.
— kaliN (@kalin108) January 28, 2020
It is much easier to remember players because they have such a long length of time that they played the game for. Especially if we are talking about 1.6, because most of the best players had extremely long careers in that game. Whereas teams are often short lived in comparison to those players. So it makes sense to me. The lack of recorded matches that are easy to watch adds to it as well.
Who was on the NaVi list except Fl1t?
— lomFedyn4ik (@fedyn4ik) January 28, 2020
I only ever heard three real names of consideration: FL1T, forester, and perfecto.
Have NA'VI considered sdy as a player for the team?
— tem1kart (@tem1kart1) January 29, 2020
I heard his name mentioned as someone possibly on their short list but it wasn't a guy they really explored getting, according those I spoke to.
Complexity's Juggernaut has been looking more like a grandma with osteoporosis trying to stop a 250+ lb lineman, what do they need to become that juggernaut? More time? Change in players?
— Aaron (@cujo_au) January 28, 2020
Time and maps played on LAN. I don't want them making a roster move anytime soon.
any top 10 teams looking to revamp their roster?
— ghostyy (@de_rust2) January 28, 2020
Not that I have heard. I expect most top rosters to stay as they are until after the Major.
If B site stays the way we are expecting with lower T1 teams and ESL takes all big names, what is your guess on the way things might change (or stay the same) in the future.
— Abdo Jouma (@abdojouma10) January 28, 2020
If "B Site" executes and delivers on what they are promising, I expect one of two things. Either handful of teams to find a way out of ESL Pro League and join "B Site" next year or players themselves just join new organizations that will join the league. The prospective financials are too good for everyone to ignore and avoid if it works out the way the organizers intend.
Who do you expect to be the top 2 teams from each group in blast premier?
— Aidan (@RealAproximate) January 28, 2020
Group A: Liquid & MIBR
Group B: Astralis & Vitality
Group C: EG & OG
When, if ever, do you think the CSPPA will have enough power to get valve to reverse bans on players like jamppi and ex iBP? Or if they aren't the right ppl to get this done, who is?
— IcY_Radon (@IcY_Radon) January 28, 2020
No one tells Valve what to do, especially with sensitive cases like this. There isn't a "right" group of people that can lobby for this and have any chance of being successful. Everyone in the community just has to make their opinion heard and hope for the best.
Do you think MIBR has a chance to reach top 10 or even top 5 with their current roster?
— Eucomopinguins???? (@Eucomopinguins) January 28, 2020
They are absolutely capable of both, but I'm not sure I expect top 5. Realistically, I think breaking up the core of Fallen, TACO, and fer will be necessary to get that high in the rankings. I wouldn't mind a second piece of young talent on that roster.
Is ScreaM gonna be picked up by another team at some point or is he just done?
— yello hoers noises (@Maple_Sunrise) January 28, 2020
I have no idea what his intentions are but I don't really see what he has done in the server in the last year that would make him worth picking up. Eventually, you have to prove yourself again and I don't think he has done that. I don't even see former teammates of his pleading his case, so that's very telling.
how are these absurd buyouts from lower-tier teams possible? I assumed buyouts were directly calculated from salary/length of the contract.
— Soaster (@Soaster4) January 28, 2020
That's not always the case at all. Some buyouts are at the discretion of the organization and don't have any real number listed, even to this day. In the lower tier teams, you'll often find lower tier contract quality. On top of that, many lower tier teams have a pretty high salary. Mainly in North America.
Are B site doing free to play qualifiers because too few teams were willing to pay the 2 million or have they changed their mind for some other reason?
— ^ (@ralKads) January 28, 2020
If you read my original report, you'll see I mentioned the qualifiers there. The qualifiers have always been a plan because "B Site" don't want to prevent teams from playing in the event that don't have the resources to buy in. I heard qualifiers mentioned from the very beginning of the discussion, which is why I'm confident this is the case.
Any inside or rumors on how Valve is going to treat the models skins? Will other TOs allow them? And if so, will players agree to not use them (like when valve had not fixed the crouchjump at the Major and teams agreed to not abuse it)?
— Hugo Houdini (@Hugo_Houdini) January 28, 2020
Rumors involving Valve almost never exist. I am going to assume that Valve won't change anything in the game for the Major. If players want to agree not to use them, then I don't expect an issue there. I've been told that players are fine with most of the models right now though, so maybe they'll be okay by the time the event comes.
Do you think the CS tournament ecosystem as we know it (pre-the franchised leagues) will be dead?
— Shitwaddup (@jorg1h) January 28, 2020
Are we never having the same competitions where the best will be the best. Not the best of each league?
I expect multiple tournament organizers to remain in the fold indefinitely. One off large offline events will never go away, nor do I want them to. It is possible however, that a franchise model is the way moving forward for league play. In that case, adaptations will be necessary but I do not think everything will end up under one umbrella like in other games.
With Envy signing Michu, are they planning on going international or is this one of those pointless roster moves?
— Kazejito (@Kazejito) January 28, 2020
I was told a couple weeks ago that they would be looking to EU for at least two members of their lineup. This was the plan all along from what I can tell.